Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.000156 0.000172 0.000190 0.000211 0.000234 0.000259 0.000288
2025-08-31 0.000121 0.000144 0.000170 0.000204 0.000245 0.000293 0.000355
2025-09-07 0.000103 0.000129 0.000161 0.000204 0.000260 0.000332 0.000430
2025-09-14 0.000091 0.000120 0.000157 0.000208 0.000279 0.000374 0.000513
2025-09-21 0.000080 0.000109 0.000148 0.000204 0.000286 0.000400 0.000575
2025-09-28 0.000070 0.000099 0.000138 0.000197 0.000285 0.000414 0.000622
2025-10-05 0.000065 0.000094 0.000135 0.000199 0.000299 0.000451 0.000706
2025-10-12 0.000061 0.000091 0.000134 0.000204 0.000317 0.000494 0.000806
2025-10-19 0.000056 0.000085 0.000129 0.000201 0.000321 0.000517 0.000874
2025-10-26 0.000053 0.000082 0.000127 0.000204 0.000335 0.000556 0.000975
2025-11-02 0.000049 0.000078 0.000123 0.000201 0.000340 0.000581 0.001052
2025-11-09 0.000046 0.000074 0.000120 0.000201 0.000348 0.000612 0.001146
2025-11-16 0.000043 0.000070 0.000115 0.000198 0.000352 0.000637 0.001234
2025-11-23 0.000039 0.000065 0.000109 0.000192 0.000349 0.000648 0.001296
2025-11-30 0.000037 0.000062 0.000107 0.000192 0.000359 0.000686 0.001420
2025-12-07 0.000035 0.000061 0.000106 0.000196 0.000375 0.000739 0.001585
2025-12-14 0.000033 0.000058 0.000102 0.000192 0.000377 0.000762 0.001685
2025-12-21 0.000030 0.000054 0.000097 0.000185 0.000370 0.000765 0.001740
2025-12-28 0.000029 0.000052 0.000096 0.000187 0.000384 0.000815 0.001917
2026-01-04 0.000028 0.000052 0.000096 0.000192 0.000403 0.000879 0.002138
2026-01-11 0.000026 0.000049 0.000093 0.000189 0.000405 0.000905 0.002264
2026-01-18 0.000025 0.000048 0.000093 0.000191 0.000419 0.000961 0.002481
2026-01-25 0.000024 0.000046 0.000090 0.000189 0.000423 0.000990 0.002632